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Championship Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Championship

Find value bets for Championship fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Arbroath vs St. Johnstone

poor

Sat 4th, 15:00

HT Result

Home

5.07 Fair: 3.85 Pinnacle

+31.69%

Model: 26%

FT Result

Home

4.75 Fair: 3.77 Pinnacle

+25.99%

Model: 26.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.91 Fair: 1.83 WilliamHill

+4.37%

Model: 54.6%

FT Result

Draw

3.68 Fair: 3.57 Pinnacle

+3.08%

Model: 28.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.30 Fair: 2.24 Kambi Group

+2.68%

Model: 44.6%

BTTS

No

1.95 Fair: 1.92 Kambi Group

+1.56%

Model: 52%

Ayr United vs Partick Thistle

poor

Sat 4th, 15:00

HT Result

Home

3.71 Fair: 3.63 1xBet

+2.2%

Model: 27.5%

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 2.12 Betfair Exchange

+1.89%

Model: 47.1%

Ross County vs Airdrieonians

poor

Sat 4th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.10 Fair: 3.53 Betfair Exchange

+16.15%

Model: 28.3%

HT Result

Away

4.74 Fair: 4.22 1xBet

+12.32%

Model: 23.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.85 Fair: 1.81 WilliamHill

+2.21%

Model: 55.2%

Dunfermline Athletic vs Greenock Morton

poor

Sat 4th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

1.97 Fair: 1.73 Kambi Group

+13.87%

Model: 57.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.23 Fair: 1.21 Kambi Group

+1.65%

Model: 82.4%

BTTS

No

1.90 Fair: 1.87 Betfair Exchange

+1.6%

Model: 53.5%

HT Result

Away

5.06 Fair: 5.00 1xBet

+1.2%

Model: 20%

HT Result

Home

2.60 Fair: 2.58 Kambi Group

+0.78%

Model: 38.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.