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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Scotland
  3. SWPL 1

SWPL 1 Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for SWPL 1

Find value bets for SWPL 1 fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Hearts W vs Celtic W
high
Wed 1st, 19:00
FT Result
Away
2.95 Fair: 2.55 Kambi Group
+15.69%
Model: 39.1%
HT Result
Away
3.40 Fair: 3.34 Bet365
+1.8%
Model: 30%
Glasgow City W vs Hibernian W
high
Wed 1st, 19:45
FT Result
Away
4.60 Fair: 4.15 Kambi Group
+10.84%
Model: 24.1%
HT Result
Away
4.00 Fair: 3.95 Bet365
+1.27%
Model: 25.3%
Rangers W vs Partick Thistle W
high
Wed 1st, 20:00
HT Result
Away
23.00 Fair: 8.03 Bet365
+186.43%
Model: 12.5%
FT Result
Away
60.00 Fair: 23.81 Betfair Exchange
+151.99%
Model: 4.2%
HT Result
Draw
5.50 Fair: 3.65 Bet365
+50.68%
Model: 27.4%
FT Result
Draw
17.00 Fair: 12.02 Bet365
+41.43%
Model: 8.3%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.