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Allsvenskan Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Allsvenskan

Find value bets for Allsvenskan fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Västerås SK vs Örgryte

medium

Fri 24th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

6.25 Fair: 4.56 Kambi Group

+37.06%

Model: 22%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.50 Fair: 2.26 Kambi Group

+10.62%

Model: 44.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.70 Fair: 4.50 Betfair Exchange

+4.44%

Model: 22.2%

BTTS

No

2.28 Fair: 2.22 Betfair Exchange

+2.7%

Model: 45.1%

Degerfors vs Djurgården

medium

Sat 25th, 14:00

HT Result

Away

2.25 Fair: 2.07 Bet365

+8.7%

Model: 48.3%

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 1.94 WilliamHill

+8.25%

Model: 51.4%

FT Result

Away

1.77 Fair: 1.65 Betfair Exchange

+7.27%

Model: 60.7%

Kalmar vs Mjällby

medium

Sat 25th, 16:30

HT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.69 Bet365

+11.52%

Model: 37.1%

FT Result

Away

3.10 Fair: 3.02 Betfair Exchange

+2.65%

Model: 33.1%

FT Result

Home

2.42 Fair: 2.41 Betfair Exchange

+0.41%

Model: 41.6%

Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby

medium

Sun 26th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

6.80 Fair: 4.05 Betfair Exchange

+67.9%

Model: 24.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.70 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+27.36%

Model: 47.2%

HT Result

Home

5.92 Fair: 5.02 Pinnacle

+17.93%

Model: 19.9%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 4.43 Betfair Exchange

+15.12%

Model: 22.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.72 Pinnacle

+1.1%

Model: 36.8%

Sirius vs IFK Göteborg

medium

Sun 26th, 13:00

FT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 4.53 Betfair Exchange

+54.53%

Model: 22.1%

HT Result

Away

5.56 Fair: 4.83 Pinnacle

+15.11%

Model: 20.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.59 Fair: 2.31 1xBet

+12.12%

Model: 43.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.90 Fair: 4.72 Betfair Exchange

+3.81%

Model: 21.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.57 Fair: 1.54 Bet365

+1.95%

Model: 64.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.80 Fair: 2.79 Kambi Group

+0.36%

Model: 35.8%

Malmö FF vs Elfsborg

medium

Sun 26th, 15:30

FT Result

Away

4.10 Fair: 3.79 Kambi Group

+8.18%

Model: 26.4%

GAIS vs Halmstad

medium

Sun 26th, 15:30

FT Result

Away

9.60 Fair: 8.34 Betfair Exchange

+15.11%

Model: 12%

HT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 7.16 Bet365

+11.73%

Model: 14%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.40 Fair: 3.12 Bet365

+8.97%

Model: 32%

FT Result

Draw

5.30 Fair: 4.99 Betfair Exchange

+6.21%

Model: 20%

HT Result

Draw

2.71 Fair: 2.56 Pinnacle

+5.86%

Model: 39.1%

BTTS

No

1.83 Fair: 1.74 Kambi Group

+5.17%

Model: 57.4%

medium

Mon 27th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

3.80 Fair: 2.53 Bet365

+50.2%

Model: 39.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.95 Fair: 1.55 Bet365

+25.81%

Model: 64.3%

HT Result

Away

4.07 Fair: 3.46 Pinnacle

+17.63%

Model: 28.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.56 Fair: 2.47 Pinnacle

+3.64%

Model: 40.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.12 Fair: 4.04 Pinnacle

+1.98%

Model: 24.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.