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Allsvenskan Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Allsvenskan

Find value bets for Allsvenskan fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Örgryte vs Hammarby

medium

Sun 6th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

13.00 Fair: 5.84 Betfair Exchange

+122.6%

Model: 17.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

4.40 Fair: 2.58 WilliamHill

+70.54%

Model: 38.7%

FT Result

Draw

7.80 Fair: 4.63 Betfair Exchange

+68.47%

Model: 21.6%

HT Result

Home

9.46 Fair: 6.84 Pinnacle

+38.3%

Model: 14.6%

HT Result

Draw

3.39 Fair: 2.85 Pinnacle

+18.95%

Model: 35.1%

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 2.09 Betfair Exchange

+3.35%

Model: 47.7%

Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg

medium

Sun 6th, 15:30

BTTS

No

2.42 Fair: 2.19 Betfair Exchange

+10.5%

Model: 45.8%

FT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 3.29 Betfair Exchange

+9.42%

Model: 30.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.40 Fair: 2.36 Pinnacle

+1.69%

Model: 42.3%

Malmö FF vs AIK

medium

Mon 7th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

4.40 Fair: 2.42 Betfair Exchange

+81.82%

Model: 41.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.06 Fair: 1.52 1xBet

+35.53%

Model: 65.9%

HT Result

Away

4.47 Fair: 3.41 Pinnacle

+31.09%

Model: 29.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.30 Fair: 4.07 Betfair Exchange

+5.65%

Model: 24.6%

Mjällby vs IFK Göteborg

medium

Mon 7th, 18:00

HT Result

Away

3.45 Fair: 3.08 Kambi Group

+12.01%

Model: 32.5%

FT Result

Away

2.96 Fair: 2.79 Betfair Exchange

+6.09%

Model: 35.9%

Kalmar vs Djurgården

medium

Mon 7th, 18:00

HT Result

Away

2.37 Fair: 2.28 Bet365

+3.95%

Model: 43.9%

FT Result

Away

1.84 Fair: 1.81 Betfair Exchange

+1.66%

Model: 55.3%

FT Result

Home

4.70 Fair: 4.65 Kambi Group

+1.08%

Model: 21.5%

Häcken vs Mjällby

medium

Fri 11th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

4.90 Fair: 3.59 Kambi Group

+36.49%

Model: 27.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 4.04 Kambi Group

+3.96%

Model: 24.8%

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.18 Kambi Group

+3.21%

Model: 45.9%

AIK vs Västerås SK

medium

Sat 12th, 14:00

FT Result

Away

3.30 Fair: 3.17 Kambi Group

+4.1%

Model: 31.5%

BTTS

Yes

1.55 Fair: 1.53 Kambi Group

+1.31%

Model: 65.2%

IFK Göteborg vs Halmstad

medium

Sat 12th, 16:30

FT Result

Away

5.40 Fair: 4.56 Kambi Group

+18.42%

Model: 21.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.