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Allsvenskan Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Allsvenskan

Find value bets for Allsvenskan fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Elfsborg vs Malmö FF

medium

Fri 23rd, 18:00

FT Result

Away

3.50 Fair: 2.85 Betfair Exchange

+22.81%

Model: 35.1%

HT Result

Away

3.96 Fair: 3.61 1xBet

+9.7%

Model: 27.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.80 Fair: 1.68 Bet365

+7.14%

Model: 59.5%

BTTS

Yes

1.68 Fair: 1.64 Betfair Exchange

+2.44%

Model: 61.1%

Västerås SK vs Halmstad

medium

Fri 23rd, 18:00

HT Result

Away

5.06 Fair: 4.39 Pinnacle

+15.26%

Model: 22.8%

FT Result

Away

4.90 Fair: 4.35 Betfair Exchange

+12.64%

Model: 23%

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 2.05 Betfair Exchange

+7.32%

Model: 48.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.15 Fair: 2.14 Bet365

+0.47%

Model: 46.7%

medium

Sat 24th, 14:00

FT Result

Away

5.30 Fair: 3.52 Betano

+50.57%

Model: 28.4%

HT Result

Away

5.16 Fair: 4.10 Pinnacle

+25.85%

Model: 24.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.37 Fair: 1.91 Bet365

+24.08%

Model: 52.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.53 Fair: 4.18 Pinnacle

+8.37%

Model: 23.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.68 Fair: 2.60 Pinnacle

+3.08%

Model: 38.5%

Häcken vs Degerfors

medium

Sat 24th, 14:00

FT Result

Away

7.40 Fair: 5.30 Betfair Exchange

+39.62%

Model: 18.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.78 Fair: 2.43 1xBet

+14.4%

Model: 41.2%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 4.48 Betfair Exchange

+13.84%

Model: 22.3%

HT Result

Away

6.60 Fair: 6.27 Pinnacle

+5.26%

Model: 16%

Kalmar vs Brommapojkarna

medium

Sat 24th, 16:30

FT Result

Away

4.25 Fair: 2.94 Kambi Group

+44.56%

Model: 34.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.90 Fair: 1.68 Bet365

+13.1%

Model: 59.4%

HT Result

Away

4.48 Fair: 4.00 Pinnacle

+12%

Model: 25%

HT Result

Draw

2.41 Fair: 2.37 Pinnacle

+1.69%

Model: 42.1%

Djurgården vs Örgryte

medium

Sat 24th, 16:30

FT Result

Away

16.50 Fair: 7.46 Betfair Exchange

+121.18%

Model: 13.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

5.35 Fair: 3.44 1xBet

+55.52%

Model: 29.1%

HT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 7.96 Bet365

+38.19%

Model: 12.6%

FT Result

Draw

8.79 Fair: 6.37 Pinnacle

+37.99%

Model: 15.7%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.69 Bet365

+15.38%

Model: 59.3%

HT Result

Draw

3.42 Fair: 3.39 Pinnacle

+0.88%

Model: 29.5%

GAIS vs IFK Göteborg

medium

Sun 25th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

2.25 Fair: 2.16 Kambi Group

+4.17%

Model: 46.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.32 Fair: 2.26 Pinnacle

+2.65%

Model: 44.2%

BTTS

No

2.28 Fair: 2.26 Kambi Group

+0.88%

Model: 44.3%

Mjällby vs Hammarby

medium

Sun 25th, 15:30

FT Result

Home

6.25 Fair: 3.97 Kambi Group

+57.43%

Model: 25.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.41 Fair: 2.12 1xBet

+13.68%

Model: 47.1%

HT Result

Home

5.72 Fair: 5.46 Pinnacle

+4.76%

Model: 18.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.60 Fair: 2.49 Pinnacle

+4.42%

Model: 40.1%

AIK vs Elfsborg

medium

Tue 27th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.16 Fair: 3.02 1xBet

+4.64%

Model: 33.1%

Brommapojkarna vs Häcken

medium

Wed 28th, 18:00

BTTS

No

2.45 Fair: 2.22 Kambi Group

+10.36%

Model: 45.1%

Degerfors vs Västerås SK

medium

Wed 28th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

2.55 Fair: 2.29 Kambi Group

+11.35%

Model: 43.8%

Halmstad vs Malmö FF

medium

Wed 28th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

1.86 Fair: 1.75 Kambi Group

+6.29%

Model: 57.2%

IFK Göteborg vs Djurgården

medium

Wed 28th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.85 Fair: 3.65 Kambi Group

+5.48%

Model: 27.4%

BTTS

No

2.45 Fair: 2.37 Kambi Group

+3.38%

Model: 42.2%

Hammarby vs Sirius

medium

Thu 29th, 17:30

FT Result

Away

5.30 Fair: 3.74 Kambi Group

+41.71%

Model: 26.8%

Örgryte vs Mjällby

medium

Thu 29th, 18:00

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.11 Kambi Group

+6.64%

Model: 47.4%

FT Result

Home

3.35 Fair: 3.22 Kambi Group

+4.04%

Model: 31.1%

medium

Thu 29th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 3.06 Kambi Group

+4.58%

Model: 32.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.