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Superettan Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Superettan

Find value bets for Superettan fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Värnamo vs Brage

high

Sat 25th, 14:00

FT Result

Away

3.15 Fair: 2.67 Betfair Exchange

+17.98%

Model: 37.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.67 Fair: 1.62 WilliamHill

+3.09%

Model: 61.7%

HT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 3.53 1xBet

+1.98%

Model: 28.3%

GIF Sundsvall vs Falkenberg

high

Sun 26th, 12:00

FT Result

Away

2.28 Fair: 2.04 Betfair Exchange

+11.76%

Model: 49%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.31 Bet365

+1.53%

Model: 76.1%

HT Result

Away

2.81 Fair: 2.78 Pinnacle

+1.08%

Model: 35.9%

Ljungskile vs Sandviken

high

Sun 26th, 14:00

FT Result

Home

2.07 Fair: 1.78 Kambi Group

+16.29%

Model: 56.3%

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.21 Betano

+13.12%

Model: 45.2%

HT Result

Home

2.60 Fair: 2.38 Kambi Group

+9.24%

Model: 42%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.27 Bet365

+2.36%

Model: 78.8%

Norrby vs Östersunds FK

high

Sun 26th, 16:00

FT Result

Home

2.96 Fair: 2.08 Betfair Exchange

+42.31%

Model: 48%

HT Result

Home

3.63 Fair: 2.70 1xBet

+34.44%

Model: 37%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.58 Fair: 1.38 Kambi Group

+14.49%

Model: 72.6%

BTTS

No

2.30 Fair: 2.16 Betfair Exchange

+6.48%

Model: 46.2%

Örebro vs Oddevold

high

Mon 27th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.05 Fair: 2.81 Kambi Group

+8.54%

Model: 35.6%

HT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 3.43 1xBet

+2.04%

Model: 29.2%

Öster vs Varberg BoIS

high

Mon 27th, 18:05

FT Result

Home

2.85 Fair: 2.67 Pinnacle

+6.74%

Model: 37.4%

HT Result

Home

3.37 Fair: 3.16 1xBet

+6.65%

Model: 31.6%

Landskrona vs Norrköping

high

Tue 28th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.25 Fair: 2.59 Betfair Exchange

+25.48%

Model: 38.6%

HT Result

Home

3.82 Fair: 3.41 1xBet

+12.02%

Model: 29.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.68 Fair: 1.57 1xBet

+7.01%

Model: 63.7%

Helsingborg vs United Nordic

high

Tue 28th, 18:00

BTTS

No

2.42 Fair: 2.28 1xBet

+6.14%

Model: 43.8%

FT Result

Away

2.89 Fair: 2.84 Pinnacle

+1.76%

Model: 35.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.39 Fair: 2.38 Pinnacle

+0.42%

Model: 42.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.