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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Hong Kong
  3. First Division
  4. Profit

Betting on First Division

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: First Division

This page will show you how profitable betting on the First Division in Hong Kong has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
208 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-321.6
89/208 won
 42.79% £-599.7
38/152 won (25%)
Draw £-366.6
37/208 won
 17.79% £-918.5
16/177 won (9.04%)
Away Win £-360.1
85/208 won
 40.87% £-704.1
34/154 won (22.08%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
208 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-73
6/17 won
 35.29% £-102.2
1/12 won (8.33%)
Draw £-49.7
3/17 won
 17.65% £-102.5
1/15 won (6.67%)
Away Win £14.1
8/17 won
 47.06% £-38.1
2/11 won (18.18%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
208 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-168.7
65/153 won
 42.48% £-445.4
27/112 won (24.11%)
Draw £-247.7
26/153 won
 16.99% £-892
7/127 won (5.51%)
Away Win £-261.7
62/153 won
 40.52% £-560.9
24/112 won (21.43%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026/2027 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
208 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-79.9
18/38 won
 47.37% £-52.1
10/28 won (35.71%)
Draw £-69.2
8/38 won
 21.05% £76
8/35 won (22.86%)
Away Win £-112.5
15/38 won
 39.47% £-105.1
8/31 won (25.81%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.