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Betting on A Lyga

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: A Lyga

This page will show you how profitable betting on the A Lyga in Lithuania has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
231 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-425.4
89/231 won
38.53% £-858.9
35/175 won (20%)
Draw £-104.3
61/231 won
26.41% £-461.5
33/197 won (16.75%)
Away Win £-52.2
81/231 won
35.06% £-224.5
41/188 won (21.81%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
231 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-48.4
11/29 won
37.93% £-129.4
3/20 won (15%)
Draw £-52.8
7/29 won
24.14% £-103
3/24 won (12.5%)
Away Win £70
11/29 won
37.93% £64.3
6/24 won (25%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
231 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-230.4
69/172 won
40.12% £-543.2
30/132 won (22.73%)
Draw £-127.5
43/172 won
25% £-338
25/149 won (16.78%)
Away Win £-101.5
60/172 won
34.88% £-289
28/137 won (20.44%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
231 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-146.6
9/30 won
30% £-186.3
2/23 won (8.7%)
Draw £76
11/30 won
36.67% £-20.5
5/24 won (20.83%)
Away Win £-20.7
10/30 won
33.33% £0.2
7/27 won (25.93%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.