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Major League Soccer Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Major League Soccer

Find value bets for Major League Soccer fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

DC United vs Columbus Crew

good

Thu 10th, 00:30

HT Result

Away

3.25 Fair: 2.84 Bet365

+14.44%

Model: 35.2%

FT Result

Away

2.70 Fair: 2.36 FanDuel

+14.41%

Model: 42.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.57 Fair: 1.46 Bet365

+7.53%

Model: 68.5%

BTTS

No

2.42 Fair: 2.30 FanDuel

+5.22%

Model: 43.4%

Philadelphia Union vs Cincinnati

good

Thu 10th, 00:30

BTTS

No

3.00 Fair: 2.32 Kambi Group

+29.31%

Model: 43.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.50 Fair: 4.21 Betfair Exchange

+6.89%

Model: 23.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.78 Fair: 2.70 Pinnacle

+2.96%

Model: 37%

FT Result

Away

4.41 Fair: 4.36 1xBet

+1.15%

Model: 23%

CF Montréal vs Charlotte

good

Thu 10th, 00:30

HT Result

Home

2.87 Fair: 2.48 Bet365

+15.73%

Model: 40.3%

BTTS

No

2.62 Fair: 2.38 FanDuel

+10.08%

Model: 42%

Atlanta United vs Orlando City

good

Thu 10th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

3.35 Fair: 3.01 Betfair Exchange

+11.3%

Model: 33.2%

BTTS

No

2.88 Fair: 2.87 Kambi Group

+0.35%

Model: 34.8%

Toronto vs Nashville SC

good

Thu 10th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.52 Fair: 2.01 FanDuel

+25.37%

Model: 49.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.65 Fair: 3.54 Betano

+3.11%

Model: 28.3%

New York City vs New England

good

Thu 10th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

3.65 Fair: 2.89 Kambi Group

+26.3%

Model: 34.6%

BTTS

Yes

1.58 Fair: 1.55 FanDuel

+1.94%

Model: 64.6%

Austin vs Colorado Rapids

good

Thu 10th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

2.65 Fair: 1.90 Kambi Group

+39.47%

Model: 52.7%

HT Result

Home

3.19 Fair: 2.51 Pinnacle

+27.09%

Model: 39.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.52 Fair: 1.30 Kambi Group

+16.92%

Model: 76.7%

BTTS

No

2.43 Fair: 2.18 Kambi Group

+11.47%

Model: 45.8%

Minnesota United vs Dallas

good

Thu 10th, 01:30

BTTS

No

2.48 Fair: 1.99 Kambi Group

+24.62%

Model: 50.2%

FT Result

Draw

3.93 Fair: 3.66 1xBet

+7.38%

Model: 27.3%

HT Result

Home

2.50 Fair: 2.35 Bet365

+6.38%

Model: 42.5%

FT Result

Away

3.90 Fair: 3.67 Pinnacle

+6.27%

Model: 27.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.85 Fair: 1.83 WilliamHill

+1.09%

Model: 54.6%

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

good

Thu 10th, 01:30

BTTS

No

3.55 Fair: 2.92 Kambi Group

+21.58%

Model: 34.3%

HT Result

Home

2.63 Fair: 2.37 Pinnacle

+10.97%

Model: 42.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.80 Fair: 2.75 WilliamHill

+1.82%

Model: 36.4%

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake

good

Thu 10th, 01:30

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 1.99 Kambi Group

+19.6%

Model: 50.3%

HT Result

Away

4.77 Fair: 4.61 Pinnacle

+3.47%

Model: 21.7%

Los Angeles FC vs New York RB

good

Thu 10th, 03:30

FT Result

Away

5.82 Fair: 4.44 1xBet

+31.08%

Model: 22.5%

BTTS

No

2.65 Fair: 2.21 Kambi Group

+19.91%

Model: 45.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.88 Fair: 4.41 1xBet

+10.66%

Model: 22.7%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs LA Galaxy

good

Thu 10th, 03:30

FT Result

Away

9.50 Fair: 6.00 Bet365

+58.33%

Model: 16.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.75 Fair: 2.82 Bet365

+32.98%

Model: 35.5%

FT Result

Draw

5.95 Fair: 5.32 1xBet

+11.84%

Model: 18.8%

HT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 7.57 Bet365

+5.68%

Model: 13.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.75 Fair: 1.74 Bet365

+0.57%

Model: 57.6%

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City

good

Thu 10th, 03:30

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.25 Kambi Group

+22.22%

Model: 44.5%

FT Result

Home

2.26 Fair: 2.02 Pinnacle

+11.88%

Model: 49.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.38 Fair: 1.34 Kambi Group

+2.99%

Model: 74.5%

HT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 3.55 Bet365

+1.41%

Model: 28.2%

San Diego vs SJ Earthquakes

good

Thu 10th, 03:30

BTTS

No

3.20 Fair: 2.79 FanDuel

+14.7%

Model: 35.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.80 Fair: 2.73 Kambi Group

+2.56%

Model: 36.7%

FT Result

Away

4.20 Fair: 4.13 FanDuel

+1.69%

Model: 24.2%

DC United vs Atlanta United

good

Sun 13th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

3.20 Fair: 2.67 Kambi Group

+19.85%

Model: 37.5%

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 2.13 Kambi Group

+11.74%

Model: 46.9%

FT Result

Draw

3.60 Fair: 3.58 Kambi Group

+0.56%

Model: 27.9%

Cincinnati vs Charlotte

good

Sun 13th, 00:30

BTTS

No

3.00 Fair: 2.74 Kambi Group

+9.49%

Model: 36.5%

Columbus Crew vs New York RB

good

Sun 13th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.64 Kambi Group

+9.85%

Model: 37.8%

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC

good

Sun 13th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.60 Kambi Group

+11.54%

Model: 38.5%

Orlando City vs Toronto

good

Sun 13th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.85 Fair: 2.17 Kambi Group

+31.34%

Model: 46.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.89 Kambi Group

+2.83%

Model: 25.7%

FT Result

Away

3.55 Fair: 3.51 Kambi Group

+1.14%

Model: 28.5%

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United

good

Sun 13th, 01:30

FT Result

Away

3.40 Fair: 3.31 Kambi Group

+2.72%

Model: 30.2%

Dallas vs Portland Timbers

good

Sun 13th, 01:30

BTTS

No

2.88 Fair: 2.39 Kambi Group

+20.5%

Model: 41.9%

FT Result

Away

3.50 Fair: 3.41 Kambi Group

+2.64%

Model: 29.3%

Sporting KC vs Los Angeles FC

good

Sun 13th, 01:30

BTTS

No

2.55 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+20.28%

Model: 47.2%

FT Result

Home

4.35 Fair: 4.31 Kambi Group

+0.93%

Model: 23.2%

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal

good

Sun 13th, 02:30

FT Result

Home

1.73 Fair: 1.65 Kambi Group

+4.85%

Model: 60.5%

BTTS

No

2.35 Fair: 2.25 Kambi Group

+4.44%

Model: 44.5%

Real Salt Lake vs New York City

good

Sun 13th, 02:30

FT Result

Home

2.10 Fair: 2.05 Kambi Group

+2.44%

Model: 48.9%

SJ Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo

good

Sun 13th, 03:30

BTTS

No

2.70 Fair: 2.68 Kambi Group

+0.75%

Model: 37.3%

LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders

good

Sun 13th, 03:30

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.26 Kambi Group

+10.62%

Model: 44.3%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.