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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Wales
  3. Premier League
  4. Profit

Betting on Premier League

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Premier League

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Premier League in Wales has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
316 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-376.1
133/316 won
 42.09% £-1054.4
60/242 won (24.79%)
Draw £-470.2
74/316 won
 23.42% £-1081.1
35/270 won (12.96%)
Away Win £132.7
109/316 won
 34.49% £-571.5
48/251 won (19.12%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
316 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £223.3
69/138 won
 50% £-235.7
32/100 won (32%)
Draw £-476
26/138 won
 18.84% £-599.6
14/123 won (11.38%)
Away Win £-165.5
43/138 won
 31.16% £-461.3
16/109 won (14.68%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
316 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-599.4
64/178 won
 35.96% £-818.7
28/142 won (19.72%)
Draw £5.8
48/178 won
 26.97% £-481.5
21/147 won (14.29%)
Away Win £298.2
66/178 won
 37.08% £-110.2
32/142 won (22.54%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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Free users see Home Win, Draw & Away Win. Pro unlocks BTTS, Over/Under Goals, Half-Time, Double Chance, and more across every league.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.