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Ettan: North · 100,000 simulations

Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad prediction

We simulated Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad 100,000 times. FBK Karlstad won 41,907 of them (41.9%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Assyriska won 34.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest FBK Karlstad win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 66.2% of simulations.

Assyriska badge
Assyriska Södertälje Fotbollsarena
1–0 Full time
FBK Karlstad badge
FBK Karlstad Away
34.5% 34,503 wins
23.6% Draw
41.9% 41,907 wins
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.78
Likeliest score
1-1 10.2% Top FBK Karlstad win: 1-2 8.4%
Both score
66.2%
Over 2.5
65.3%

Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Assyriska winning 34.5% and gave this exact score 5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Södertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad live score, stats & lineups

Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ettan: North · Sunday 11 October, 15:00

Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad simulation probabilities
Assyriska win34.5%
Draw23.6%
FBK Karlstad win41.9%
Most likely score1-1 (10.2%)
Expected goals1.60 – 1.78
Both teams to score66.2%
Over 1.5 goals85.3%
Over 2.5 goals65.3%
Over 3.5 goals43.7%
Assyriska score first49%
FBK Karlstad score first47%
Assyriska clean sheet17.3%
FBK Karlstad clean sheet20.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420542324
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad prediction FAQs

Who will win Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad?

FBK Karlstad are favourites. They win 41.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 34.5% for Assyriska. Including the draw, FBK Karlstad avoid defeat 65.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad?

1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest FBK Karlstad win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad?

Both teams score in 66.2% of simulations. Assyriska keep a clean sheet 17.3% of the time and FBK Karlstad 20.6%.

How many goals will there be in Assyriska vs FBK Karlstad?

The simulations average 3.39 goals: 1.60 for Assyriska and 1.78 for FBK Karlstad. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.3% and over 3.5 goals 43.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.