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Europa Conference League · 100,000 simulations

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

We simulated Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris 100,000 times. Brighton & Hove Albion won 94,548 of them (94.6%), the draw came up 4.2% of the time and Kauno Žalgiris won 1.3%. The most likely score is 4-0 (12.7%), and both teams score in 32.3% of simulations.

Brighton & Hove Albion badge
Brighton & Hove Albion The American Express Community Stadium
Tomorrow
Kauno Žalgiris badge
Kauno Žalgiris Away
94.6% 94,548 wins
4.2% Draw
1.3% 1,292 wins
Expected goals
4.08 – 0.40
Likeliest score
4-0 12.7%
Both score
32.3%
Over 2.5
81.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Mikkel Redder The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris lineups, team news & head to head

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris in numbers 100,000 simulations · Europa Conference League · Tomorrow, 20:00

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris simulation probabilities
Brighton & Hove Albion win94.6%
Draw4.2%
Kauno Žalgiris win1.3%
Most likely score4-0 (12.7%)
Expected goals4.08 – 0.40
Both teams to score32.3%
Over 1.5 goals93.1%
Over 2.5 goals81.4%
Over 3.5 goals64.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion score first89.8%
Kauno Žalgiris score first8.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet67%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420684610
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction FAQs

Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites. They win 94.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 4.2% for the draw and 1.3% for Kauno Žalgiris. Including the draw, Brighton & Hove Albion avoid defeat 98.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris?

4-0, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (12.7%) and 5-0 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Both teams score in 32.3% of simulations. Brighton & Hove Albion keep a clean sheet 67% of the time and Kauno Žalgiris 2%.

How many goals will there be in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The simulations average 4.48 goals: 4.08 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.40 for Kauno Žalgiris. Over 1.5 goals lands 93.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 81.4% and over 3.5 goals 64.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.