We simulated Carlos Mannucci vs Alianza Universidad 100,000 times. Carlos Mannucci won 58,094 of them (58.1%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and Alianza Universidad won 18.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.5%), and both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
| Carlos Mannucci win | 58.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| Alianza Universidad win | 18.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.76 – 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.2% |
| Carlos Mannucci score first | 59.8% |
| Alianza Universidad score first | 32.4% |
| Carlos Mannucci clean sheet | 42.2% |
| Alianza Universidad clean sheet | 17.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725887 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Carlos Mannucci are favourites. They win 58.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 18.2% for Alianza Universidad. Including the draw, Carlos Mannucci avoid defeat 81.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.1%) and 2-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. Carlos Mannucci keep a clean sheet 42.2% of the time and Alianza Universidad 17.6%.
The simulations average 2.63 goals: 1.76 for Carlos Mannucci and 0.87 for Alianza Universidad. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.8% and over 3.5 goals 27.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
