We simulated FC Twente vs Thun 100,000 times. FC Twente won 78,317 of them (78.3%), the draw came up 13.2% of the time and Thun won 8.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and both teams score in 53.2% of simulations.
| FC Twente win | 78.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.2% |
| Thun win | 8.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.86 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.5% |
| FC Twente score first | 76.5% |
| Thun score first | 20.7% |
| FC Twente clean sheet | 43.3% |
| Thun clean sheet | 6.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684606 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Twente are favourites. They win 78.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.2% for the draw and 8.5% for Thun. Including the draw, FC Twente avoid defeat 91.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.2% of simulations. FC Twente keep a clean sheet 43.3% of the time and Thun 6.1%.
The simulations average 3.71 goals: 2.86 for FC Twente and 0.84 for Thun. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71% and over 3.5 goals 50.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
