We simulated Gent vs AGF 100,000 times. Gent won 59,115 of them (59.1%), the draw came up 22.2% of the time and AGF won 18.7%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.8%), and both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
| Gent win | 59.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| AGF win | 18.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.79 – 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Gent score first | 63.9% |
| AGF score first | 29.5% |
| Gent clean sheet | 41.8% |
| AGF clean sheet | 17.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684516 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gent are favourites. They win 59.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.2% for the draw and 18.7% for AGF. Including the draw, Gent avoid defeat 81.3% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11%) and 1-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. Gent keep a clean sheet 41.8% of the time and AGF 17.1%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 1.79 for Gent and 0.88 for AGF. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.7% and over 3.5 goals 28%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
