We simulated Getafe vs Lugano 100,000 times. Getafe won 48,555 of them (48.6%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Lugano won 23.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Getafe win is 1-0 (10.9%). Both teams score in 50.7% of simulations.
| Getafe win | 48.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Lugano win | 23.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 50.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.7% |
| Getafe score first | 55.2% |
| Lugano score first | 35.8% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 36.7% |
| Lugano clean sheet | 21.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684571 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Getafe are favourites. They win 48.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 23.7% for Lugano. Including the draw, Getafe avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Getafe win is 1-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.7% of simulations. Getafe keep a clean sheet 36.7% of the time and Lugano 21.7%.
The simulations average 2.56 goals: 1.55 for Getafe and 1.01 for Lugano. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47% and over 3.5 goals 25.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
