We simulated Grosuplje vs Maribor 100,000 times. Maribor won 55,862 of them (55.9%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Grosuplje won 20.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Maribor win is 1-2 (9.7%). Both teams score in 55.4% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Maribor winning 55.9% and gave this exact score 9.7%.
| Grosuplje win | 20.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Maribor win | 55.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.06 – 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | 55.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.9% |
| Grosuplje score first | 31.7% |
| Maribor score first | 62.4% |
| Grosuplje clean sheet | 15.7% |
| Maribor clean sheet | 35% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420579980 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Maribor are favourites. They win 55.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 20.7% for Grosuplje. Including the draw, Maribor avoid defeat 79.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Maribor win is 1-2 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.4% of simulations. Grosuplje keep a clean sheet 15.7% of the time and Maribor 35%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 1.06 for Grosuplje and 1.88 for Maribor. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.1% and over 3.5 goals 33.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
