We simulated Hibernian vs Celtic 100,000 times. Celtic won 53,845 of them (53.8%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and Hibernian won 23.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest Celtic win is 1-2 (9.5%). Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations.
| Hibernian win | 23.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.6% |
| Celtic win | 53.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.9% |
| Hibernian score first | 34.1% |
| Celtic score first | 61% |
| Hibernian clean sheet | 14.7% |
| Celtic clean sheet | 30% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420599285 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Celtic are favourites. They win 53.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 23.5% for Hibernian. Including the draw, Celtic avoid defeat 76.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Celtic win is 1-2 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations. Hibernian keep a clean sheet 14.7% of the time and Celtic 30%.
The simulations average 3.16 goals: 1.22 for Hibernian and 1.95 for Celtic. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.9% and over 3.5 goals 38.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
