We simulated Holywell vs Penybont 100,000 times. Penybont won 79,341 of them (79.3%), the draw came up 12.6% of the time and Holywell won 8.1%. The most likely score is 0-2 (10.3%), and both teams score in 51.9% of simulations.
| Holywell win | 8.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 12.6% |
| Penybont win | 79.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.81 – 2.89 |
| Both teams to score | 51.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.3% |
| Holywell score first | 23.6% |
| Penybont score first | 73.8% |
| Holywell clean sheet | 6% |
| Penybont clean sheet | 44.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420598876 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Penybont are favourites. They win 79.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.6% for the draw and 8.1% for Holywell. Including the draw, Penybont avoid defeat 91.9% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.9% of simulations. Holywell keep a clean sheet 6% of the time and Penybont 44.7%.
The simulations average 3.70 goals: 0.81 for Holywell and 2.89 for Penybont. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.9% and over 3.5 goals 50.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
