We simulated Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda 100,000 times. Crvena Zvezda won 39,529 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 25.4% of the time and Lugano won 35.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest Crvena Zvezda win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.
| Lugano win | 35.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Crvena Zvezda win | 39.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.51 |
| Both teams to score | 58.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.4% |
| Lugano score first | 46.2% |
| Crvena Zvezda score first | 47.6% |
| Lugano clean sheet | 22.6% |
| Crvena Zvezda clean sheet | 24.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684547 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Crvena Zvezda are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.4% for the draw and 35.1% for Lugano. Including the draw, Crvena Zvezda avoid defeat 64.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Crvena Zvezda win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. Lugano keep a clean sheet 22.6% of the time and Crvena Zvezda 24.9%.
The simulations average 2.91 goals: 1.41 for Lugano and 1.51 for Crvena Zvezda. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.5% and over 3.5 goals 33.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
