We simulated Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors de Cali 100,000 times. Orsomarso won 40,484 of them (40.5%), the draw came up 32.6% of the time and Boca Juniors de Cali won 27%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.1%, while the likeliest Orsomarso win is 1-0 (10.9%). Both teams score in 47.3% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Orsomarso win | 40.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.6% |
| Boca Juniors de Cali win | 27% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.27 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 47.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.7% |
| Orsomarso score first | 45.3% |
| Boca Juniors de Cali score first | 42% |
| Orsomarso clean sheet | 37.2% |
| Boca Juniors de Cali clean sheet | 28.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420567121 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Orsomarso are favourites. They win 40.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.6% for the draw and 27% for Boca Juniors de Cali. Including the draw, Orsomarso avoid defeat 73.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12.7%) and 1-0 (10.9%). The likeliest Orsomarso win is 1-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.3% of simulations. Orsomarso keep a clean sheet 37.2% of the time and Boca Juniors de Cali 28.3%.
The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.27 for Orsomarso and 1.00 for Boca Juniors de Cali. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.6% and over 3.5 goals 19.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
