We simulated Reading vs Chelsea U21 100,000 times. Reading won 64,150 of them (64.2%), the draw came up 18.7% of the time and Chelsea U21 won 17.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 63.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Chelsea U21 winning 17.1%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Reading win | 64.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.7% |
| Chelsea U21 win | 17.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.46 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 63.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.6% |
| Reading score first | 65.9% |
| Chelsea U21 score first | 30.8% |
| Reading clean sheet | 30.3% |
| Chelsea U21 clean sheet | 9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420657188 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Reading are favourites. They win 64.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.7% for the draw and 17.1% for Chelsea U21. Including the draw, Reading avoid defeat 82.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.8% of simulations. Reading keep a clean sheet 30.3% of the time and Chelsea U21 9%.
The simulations average 3.66 goals: 2.46 for Reading and 1.21 for Chelsea U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 88% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.4% and over 3.5 goals 49.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
