We simulated Real Sociedad II vs Almería 100,000 times. Almería won 46,027 of them (46%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Real Sociedad II won 27.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Almería win is 0-1 (9.9%). Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations.
| Real Sociedad II win | 27.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Almería win | 46% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.14 – 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Real Sociedad II score first | 40.6% |
| Almería score first | 51.8% |
| Real Sociedad II clean sheet | 21.6% |
| Almería clean sheet | 32.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420642994 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Almería are favourites. They win 46% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 27.4% for Real Sociedad II. Including the draw, Almería avoid defeat 72.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest Almería win is 0-1 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations. Real Sociedad II keep a clean sheet 21.6% of the time and Almería 32.3%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.14 for Real Sociedad II and 1.55 for Almería. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.2% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
