We simulated Thun vs Hajduk Split 100,000 times. Hajduk Split won 40,069 of them (40.1%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Thun won 33.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Hajduk Split win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations.
| Thun win | 33.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.5% |
| Hajduk Split win | 40.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.58 |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.4% |
| Thun score first | 44.3% |
| Hajduk Split score first | 49.3% |
| Thun clean sheet | 21.1% |
| Hajduk Split clean sheet | 24.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684570 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hajduk Split are favourites. They win 40.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 33.4% for Thun. Including the draw, Hajduk Split avoid defeat 66.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations. Thun keep a clean sheet 21.1% of the time and Hajduk Split 24.5%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 1.42 for Thun and 1.58 for Hajduk Split. Over 1.5 goals lands 81% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.5% and over 3.5 goals 35.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
