We simulated Unión Comercio vs Ayacucho 100,000 times. Unión Comercio won 68,518 of them (68.5%), the draw came up 19.9% of the time and Ayacucho won 11.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.7%), and both teams score in 42.1% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Unión Comercio win | 68.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.9% |
| Ayacucho win | 11.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.01 – 0.67 |
| Both teams to score | 42.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.4% |
| Unión Comercio score first | 71.3% |
| Ayacucho score first | 21.3% |
| Unión Comercio clean sheet | 51.2% |
| Ayacucho clean sheet | 13.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725886 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Unión Comercio are favourites. They win 68.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.9% for the draw and 11.6% for Ayacucho. Including the draw, Unión Comercio avoid defeat 88.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.7%) and 1-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.1% of simulations. Unión Comercio keep a clean sheet 51.2% of the time and Ayacucho 13.8%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 2.01 for Unión Comercio and 0.67 for Ayacucho. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.1% and over 3.5 goals 28.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
