We simulated Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga 100,000 times. Deportivo Alavés won 57,002 of them (57%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Málaga won 18.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.1%), and both teams score in 48.4% of simulations.
| Deportivo Alavés win | 57% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Málaga win | 18.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.74 – 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.9% |
| Deportivo Alavés score first | 63.7% |
| Málaga score first | 28.4% |
| Deportivo Alavés clean sheet | 41.9% |
| Málaga clean sheet | 17.9% |
Levante
Athletic Club
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1.7–1.0
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Espanyol
Awaiting odds
Valencia
Villarreal
Awaiting odds
Atlético de Madrid
Deportivo A Coruña
Awaiting odds
Athletic Club
Getafe
1.7–0.7
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Real Betis
Awaiting odds
Real Sociedad
Levante
Awaiting odds
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654555 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Deportivo Alavés are favourites. They win 57% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 18.2% for Málaga. Including the draw, Deportivo Alavés avoid defeat 81.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations. Deportivo Alavés keep a clean sheet 41.9% of the time and Málaga 17.9%.
The simulations average 2.62 goals: 1.74 for Deportivo Alavés and 0.88 for Málaga. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.5% and over 3.5 goals 26.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
