We simulated Rayo Vallecano vs Elche 100,000 times. Rayo Vallecano won 51,952 of them (52%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Elche won 22.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (10.4%). Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
| Rayo Vallecano win | 52% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Elche win | 22.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano score first | 61.9% |
| Elche score first | 30.6% |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 35.6% |
| Elche clean sheet | 18.7% |
Levante
Athletic Club
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés
Málaga
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Espanyol
Awaiting odds
Valencia
Villarreal
Awaiting odds
Atlético de Madrid
Deportivo A Coruña
Awaiting odds
Athletic Club
Getafe
1.7–0.7
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Real Betis
Awaiting odds
Real Sociedad
Levante
Awaiting odds
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654565 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rayo Vallecano are favourites. They win 52% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 22.7% for Elche. Including the draw, Rayo Vallecano avoid defeat 77.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations. Rayo Vallecano keep a clean sheet 35.6% of the time and Elche 18.7%.
The simulations average 2.74 goals: 1.70 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.04 for Elche. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.4% and over 3.5 goals 29.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
