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Ireland Premier Division · 100,000 simulations

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers prediction

We simulated Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers 100,000 times. Shelbourne won 64,428 of them (64.4%), the draw came up 21.5% of the time and Sligo Rovers won 14.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.

Shelbourne badge
Shelbourne Tolka Park
Friday 9 October
Sligo Rovers badge
Sligo Rovers Away
64.4% 64,428 wins
21.5% Draw
14.1% 14,086 wins
Expected goals
2.01 – 0.81
Likeliest score
2-0 11.9%
Both score
48.1%
Over 2.5
53.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Tolka Park, Dublin

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ireland Premier Division · Friday 9 October, 19:45

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers simulation probabilities
Shelbourne win64.4%
Draw21.5%
Sligo Rovers win14.1%
Most likely score2-0 (11.9%)
Expected goals2.01 – 0.81
Both teams to score48.1%
Over 1.5 goals77.2%
Over 2.5 goals53.2%
Over 3.5 goals31.3%
Shelbourne score first64.4%
Sligo Rovers score first28.6%
Shelbourne clean sheet44.7%
Sligo Rovers clean sheet14%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420498422
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers prediction FAQs

Who will win Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Shelbourne are favourites. They win 64.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.5% for the draw and 14.1% for Sligo Rovers. Including the draw, Shelbourne avoid defeat 85.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

2-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Shelbourne keep a clean sheet 44.7% of the time and Sligo Rovers 14%.

How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

The simulations average 2.82 goals: 2.01 for Shelbourne and 0.81 for Sligo Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.2% and over 3.5 goals 31.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.