We simulated AIK vs Elfsborg 100,000 times. Elfsborg won 43,142 of them (43.1%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and AIK won 31.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Elfsborg win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 61.4% of simulations.
| AIK win | 31.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Elfsborg win | 43.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.40 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 61.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% |
| AIK score first | 42.2% |
| Elfsborg score first | 52% |
| AIK clean sheet | 19.3% |
| Elfsborg clean sheet | 25% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543498 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Elfsborg are favourites. They win 43.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 31.7% for AIK. Including the draw, Elfsborg avoid defeat 68.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.4% of simulations. AIK keep a clean sheet 19.3% of the time and Elfsborg 25%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.40 for AIK and 1.67 for Elfsborg. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59% and over 3.5 goals 36.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
