We simulated Hammarby vs Sirius 100,000 times. Hammarby won 63,523 of them (63.5%), the draw came up 20.6% of the time and Sirius won 15.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.9%), and both teams score in 55.8% of simulations.
| Hammarby win | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Sirius win | 15.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.17 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 55.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Hammarby score first | 63.9% |
| Sirius score first | 31.1% |
| Hammarby clean sheet | 37.3% |
| Sirius clean sheet | 11.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543456 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hammarby are favourites. They win 63.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.6% for the draw and 15.9% for Sirius. Including the draw, Hammarby avoid defeat 84.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.8% of simulations. Hammarby keep a clean sheet 37.3% of the time and Sirius 11.8%.
The simulations average 3.17 goals: 2.17 for Hammarby and 0.99 for Sirius. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61% and over 3.5 goals 39%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
