We simulated Sevilla vs Osasuna 100,000 times. Sevilla won 49,123 of them (49.1%), the draw came up 27% of the time and Osasuna won 23.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Sevilla win is 1-0 (10.8%). Both teams score in 51.4% of simulations.
| Sevilla win | 49.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Osasuna win | 23.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.6% |
| Sevilla score first | 55.2% |
| Osasuna score first | 36.4% |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 36.1% |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 21% |
Levante
Athletic Club
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés
Málaga
1.7–0.9
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
1.7–1.0
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Racing Santander
Espanyol
1.6–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Villarreal
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
Deportivo A Coruña
2.3–0.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Getafe
1.7–0.7
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Real Betis
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654547 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sevilla are favourites. They win 49.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27% for the draw and 23.9% for Osasuna. Including the draw, Sevilla avoid defeat 76.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win is 1-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.4% of simulations. Sevilla keep a clean sheet 36.1% of the time and Osasuna 21%.
The simulations average 2.61 goals: 1.58 for Sevilla and 1.03 for Osasuna. Over 1.5 goals lands 74% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.1% and over 3.5 goals 26.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
