We simulated Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 100,000 times. Aalesund won 43,334 of them (43.3%), the draw came up 24% of the time and Sarpsborg 08 won 32.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Aalesund win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 69.6% of simulations.
| Aalesund win | 43.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Sarpsborg 08 win | 32.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 1.93 – 1.66 |
| Both teams to score | 69.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.1% |
| Aalesund score first | 55% |
| Sarpsborg 08 score first | 40.8% |
| Aalesund clean sheet | 19.5% |
| Sarpsborg 08 clean sheet | 15.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527828 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aalesund are favourites. They win 43.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 32.7% for Sarpsborg 08. Including the draw, Aalesund avoid defeat 67.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aalesund win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 69.6% of simulations. Aalesund keep a clean sheet 19.5% of the time and Sarpsborg 08 15.1%.
The simulations average 3.59 goals: 1.93 for Aalesund and 1.66 for Sarpsborg 08. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.1% and over 3.5 goals 48.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
