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We simulated Start vs HamKam 100,000 times. Start won 53,494 of them (53.5%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and HamKam won 22.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Start win is 2-1 (9.6%). Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations.
| Start win | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| HamKam win | 22.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.90 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.8% |
| Start score first | 61.6% |
| HamKam score first | 32.9% |
| Start clean sheet | 31.4% |
| HamKam clean sheet | 15.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527830 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Start are favourites. They win 53.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 22.9% for HamKam. Including the draw, Start avoid defeat 77.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Start win is 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations. Start keep a clean sheet 31.4% of the time and HamKam 15.4%.
The simulations average 3.07 goals: 1.90 for Start and 1.17 for HamKam. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.9% and over 3.5 goals 36.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.