We simulated Lillestrøm vs Molde 100,000 times. Molde won 44,467 of them (44.5%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and Lillestrøm won 32.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 8.9%, while the likeliest Molde win is 1-2 (7.9%). Both teams score in 73.6% of simulations.
| Lillestrøm win | 32.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| Molde win | 44.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (8.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.79 – 2.11 |
| Both teams to score | 73.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 54.4% |
| Lillestrøm score first | 44.9% |
| Molde score first | 51.6% |
| Lillestrøm clean sheet | 12.7% |
| Molde clean sheet | 17.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527808 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Molde are favourites. They win 44.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 32.4% for Lillestrøm. Including the draw, Molde avoid defeat 67.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 8.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (7.9%) and 2-2 (7%). The likeliest Molde win is 1-2 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 73.6% of simulations. Lillestrøm keep a clean sheet 12.7% of the time and Molde 17.2%.
The simulations average 3.90 goals: 1.79 for Lillestrøm and 2.11 for Molde. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.2% and over 3.5 goals 54.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here WilliamHill), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
