We simulated Fredrikstad vs Tromsø 100,000 times. Fredrikstad won 39,491 of them (39.5%), the draw came up 25.9% of the time and Tromsø won 34.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Fredrikstad win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations.
| Fredrikstad win | 39.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.9% |
| Tromsø win | 34.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 58.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.2% |
| Fredrikstad score first | 49.6% |
| Tromsø score first | 43.9% |
| Fredrikstad clean sheet | 25.1% |
| Tromsø clean sheet | 22.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527769 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fredrikstad are favourites. They win 39.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.9% for the draw and 34.7% for Tromsø. Including the draw, Fredrikstad avoid defeat 65.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.7% of simulations. Fredrikstad keep a clean sheet 25.1% of the time and Tromsø 22.5%.
The simulations average 2.91 goals: 1.51 for Fredrikstad and 1.40 for Tromsø. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.3% and over 3.5 goals 33.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
