We simulated Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough 100,000 times. Middlesbrough won 51,638 of them (51.6%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Bolton Wanderers won 25.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations.
| Bolton Wanderers win | 25.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Middlesbrough win | 51.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.27 – 1.91 |
| Both teams to score | 61.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.4% |
| Bolton Wanderers score first | 41.4% |
| Middlesbrough score first | 53.9% |
| Bolton Wanderers clean sheet | 15.2% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 28.3% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Portsmouth
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Sheffield United
Derby County
1.8–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Portsmouth
Millwall
1.5–1.3
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Norwich City
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cardiff City
Birmingham City
Awaiting odds
West Ham United
Southampton
Awaiting odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Watford
Awaiting odds
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion
Awaiting odds
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644077 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Middlesbrough are favourites. They win 51.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 25.1% for Bolton Wanderers. Including the draw, Middlesbrough avoid defeat 74.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.3% of simulations. Bolton Wanderers keep a clean sheet 15.2% of the time and Middlesbrough 28.3%.
The simulations average 3.19 goals: 1.27 for Bolton Wanderers and 1.91 for Middlesbrough. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.4% and over 3.5 goals 39.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
