We simulated Portsmouth vs Millwall 100,000 times. Portsmouth won 41,638 of them (41.6%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and Millwall won 32%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest Portsmouth win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
| Portsmouth win | 41.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Millwall win | 32% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.4% |
| Portsmouth score first | 50.2% |
| Millwall score first | 42.8% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 28.2% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 22.8% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Portsmouth
1.8–0.9
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Bolton Wanderers
Middlesbrough
1.3–1.9
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Sheffield United
Derby County
1.8–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Norwich City
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Cardiff City
Birmingham City
Awaiting odds
West Ham United
Southampton
Awaiting odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Watford
Awaiting odds
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion
Awaiting odds
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644019 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portsmouth are favourites. They win 41.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 32% for Millwall. Including the draw, Portsmouth avoid defeat 68% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Portsmouth win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Portsmouth keep a clean sheet 28.2% of the time and Millwall 22.8%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.50 for Portsmouth and 1.28 for Millwall. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.3% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
