We simulated Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen 100,000 times. Dinamo Zagreb won 63,562 of them (63.6%), the draw came up 20.2% of the time and NEC Nijmegen won 16.2%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
| Dinamo Zagreb win | 63.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.2% |
| NEC Nijmegen win | 16.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.26 – 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.3% |
| Dinamo Zagreb score first | 65.6% |
| NEC Nijmegen score first | 30% |
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 35.1% |
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet | 10.9% |
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Ferencvárosi
Torreense
2.4–0.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Rennes
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sturm Graz
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Celje
Salzburg
1.1–1.9
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684735 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dinamo Zagreb are favourites. They win 63.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.2% for the draw and 16.2% for NEC Nijmegen. Including the draw, Dinamo Zagreb avoid defeat 83.8% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Dinamo Zagreb keep a clean sheet 35.1% of the time and NEC Nijmegen 10.9%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 2.26 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.06 for NEC Nijmegen. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64% and over 3.5 goals 42.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
