We simulated Lech Poznań vs Sunderland 100,000 times. Sunderland won 53,302 of them (53.3%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Lech Poznań won 23.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Sunderland win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations.
| Lech Poznań win | 23.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Sunderland win | 53.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.09 – 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 54.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.5% |
| Lech Poznań score first | 35.6% |
| Sunderland score first | 58.5% |
| Lech Poznań clean sheet | 17.2% |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 33.9% |
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Ferencvárosi
Torreense
2.4–0.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Rennes
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sturm Graz
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
2.3–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Celje
Salzburg
1.1–1.9
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684690 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sunderland are favourites. They win 53.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 23.2% for Lech Poznań. Including the draw, Sunderland avoid defeat 76.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations. Lech Poznań keep a clean sheet 17.2% of the time and Sunderland 33.9%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.09 for Lech Poznań and 1.78 for Sunderland. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.5% and over 3.5 goals 32.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
