We simulated Mjällby vs Hammarby 100,000 times. Hammarby won 65,350 of them (65.4%), the draw came up 20.2% of the time and Mjällby won 14.5%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11%), and both teams score in 51.7% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Hammarby winning 65.4% and gave this exact score 11%.
| Mjällby win | 14.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.2% |
| Hammarby win | 65.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 0.89 – 2.13 |
| Both teams to score | 51.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.6% |
| Mjällby score first | 27.6% |
| Hammarby score first | 67.1% |
| Mjällby clean sheet | 12.3% |
| Hammarby clean sheet | 41.5% |
AIK
Elfsborg
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
IFK Göteborg
Djurgården
1.3–1.6
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Brommapojkarna
Häcken
1.1–1.9
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Halmstad
Malmö FF
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Degerfors
Västerås SK
1.4–1.3
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Hammarby
Sirius
2.2–1.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Örgryte
Mjällby
1.3–1.7
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Kalmar
GAIS
1.5–1.3
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543457 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hammarby are favourites. They win 65.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.2% for the draw and 14.5% for Mjällby. Including the draw, Hammarby avoid defeat 85.5% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.7% of simulations. Mjällby keep a clean sheet 12.3% of the time and Hammarby 41.5%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 0.89 for Mjällby and 2.13 for Hammarby. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
