We simulated Celtic vs Celta de Vigo 100,000 times. Celtic won 39,275 of them (39.3%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Celta de Vigo won 33.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Celtic win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.
| Celtic win | 39.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| Celta de Vigo win | 33.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 57.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Celtic score first | 44.4% |
| Celta de Vigo score first | 48.2% |
| Celtic clean sheet | 26.5% |
| Celta de Vigo clean sheet | 23.5% |
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
1.1–2.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Ferencvárosi
Torreense
2.4–0.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Rennes
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sturm Graz
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
2.3–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684740 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Celtic are favourites. They win 39.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 33.7% for Celta de Vigo. Including the draw, Celtic avoid defeat 66.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Celtic win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Celtic keep a clean sheet 26.5% of the time and Celta de Vigo 23.5%.
The simulations average 2.81 goals: 1.47 for Celtic and 1.34 for Celta de Vigo. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.1% and over 3.5 goals 31%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
