We simulated Club Brugge vs Lens 100,000 times. Club Brugge won 52,090 of them (52.1%), the draw came up 22% of the time and Lens won 25.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.2%, while the likeliest Club Brugge win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 67.4% of simulations.
| Club Brugge win | 52.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Lens win | 25.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.12 – 1.45 |
| Both teams to score | 67.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.7% |
| Club Brugge score first | 56.1% |
| Lens score first | 40.5% |
| Club Brugge clean sheet | 23.8% |
| Lens clean sheet | 12.5% |
Como
Manchester United
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Galatasaray
1.7–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
Arsenal
1.9–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Inter
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.9–0.9
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
3.0–1.1
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Feyenoord
2.3–1.4
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Sporting CP
LASK
3.0–0.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Viking
3.0–1.0
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684469 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Club Brugge are favourites. They win 52.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22% for the draw and 25.9% for Lens. Including the draw, Club Brugge avoid defeat 74.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 2-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Club Brugge win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.4% of simulations. Club Brugge keep a clean sheet 23.8% of the time and Lens 12.5%.
The simulations average 3.57 goals: 2.12 for Club Brugge and 1.45 for Lens. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.8% and over 3.5 goals 47.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
