We simulated Como vs Manchester United 100,000 times. Como won 47,411 of them (47.4%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Manchester United won 28%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Como win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations.
| Como win | 47.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| Manchester United win | 28% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.78 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 61.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.6% |
| Como score first | 55.7% |
| Manchester United score first | 38.7% |
| Como clean sheet | 27% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 17.3% |
LOSC Lille
Galatasaray
1.7–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
Arsenal
1.9–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Inter
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.9–0.9
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
3.0–1.1
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Feyenoord
2.3–1.4
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Club Brugge
Lens
2.1–1.5
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Sporting CP
LASK
3.0–0.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Viking
3.0–1.0
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673915 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Como are favourites. They win 47.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 28% for Manchester United. Including the draw, Como avoid defeat 72% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Como win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.2% of simulations. Como keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Manchester United 17.3%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.78 for Como and 1.32 for Manchester United. Over 1.5 goals lands 82% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.7% and over 3.5 goals 37.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
