We simulated Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk 100,000 times. Inter won 78,104 of them (78.1%), the draw came up 13.1% of the time and Shakhtar Donetsk won 8.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.2%), and both teams score in 56% of simulations.
| Inter win | 78.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.1% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | 8.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.94 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.4% |
| Inter score first | 73.1% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk score first | 24.8% |
| Inter clean sheet | 40.7% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet | 5.6% |
Como
Manchester United
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Galatasaray
1.7–1.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
FC Bayern München
Arsenal
1.9–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
3.0–1.1
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
Feyenoord
2.3–1.4
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Club Brugge
Lens
2.1–1.5
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Sporting CP
LASK
3.0–0.9
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Aston Villa
Viking
3.0–1.0
xG
76%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420676168 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter are favourites. They win 78.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.1% for the draw and 8.8% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Including the draw, Inter avoid defeat 91.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Inter keep a clean sheet 40.7% of the time and Shakhtar Donetsk 5.6%.
The simulations average 3.85 goals: 2.94 for Inter and 0.91 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.4% and over 3.5 goals 53.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
