We simulated HJK vs VPS 100,000 times. HJK won 59,519 of them (59.5%), the draw came up 23.1% of the time and VPS won 17.4%. The most likely score is 1-0 (11%), and both teams score in 50.8% of simulations.
| HJK win | 59.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.1% |
| VPS win | 17.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.89 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 50.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.9% |
| HJK score first | 61.5% |
| VPS score first | 31.7% |
| HJK clean sheet | 40.5% |
| VPS clean sheet | 15.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709400 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
HJK are favourites. They win 59.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.1% for the draw and 17.4% for VPS. Including the draw, HJK avoid defeat 82.6% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.9%) and 2-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations. HJK keep a clean sheet 40.5% of the time and VPS 15.6%.
The simulations average 2.80 goals: 1.89 for HJK and 0.91 for VPS. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.9% and over 3.5 goals 30.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
