We simulated KuPS vs Oulu 100,000 times. KuPS won 60,060 of them (60.1%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and Oulu won 16.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.5%), and both teams score in 46.9% of simulations.
| KuPS win | 60.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| Oulu win | 16.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.81 – 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 46.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.2% |
| KuPS score first | 67.5% |
| Oulu score first | 24.6% |
| KuPS clean sheet | 44.3% |
| Oulu clean sheet | 16.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709409 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
KuPS are favourites. They win 60.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 16.2% for Oulu. Including the draw, KuPS avoid defeat 83.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.7%) and 1-1 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.9% of simulations. KuPS keep a clean sheet 44.3% of the time and Oulu 16.8%.
The simulations average 2.63 goals: 1.81 for KuPS and 0.82 for Oulu. Over 1.5 goals lands 74% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.7% and over 3.5 goals 27.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
