We simulated VPS vs Gnistan 100,000 times. VPS won 42,375 of them (42.4%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Gnistan won 30.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest VPS win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 56.3% of simulations.
| VPS win | 42.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Gnistan win | 30.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.52 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 56.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.3% |
| VPS score first | 50.3% |
| Gnistan score first | 42.2% |
| VPS clean sheet | 29.1% |
| Gnistan clean sheet | 22.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709413 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
VPS are favourites. They win 42.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 30.2% for Gnistan. Including the draw, VPS avoid defeat 69.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest VPS win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.3% of simulations. VPS keep a clean sheet 29.1% of the time and Gnistan 22.3%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.52 for VPS and 1.25 for Gnistan. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.2% and over 3.5 goals 30.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
