We simulated TPS vs Jaro 100,000 times. TPS won 50,205 of them (50.2%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Jaro won 23.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest TPS win is 1-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.
| TPS win | 50.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Jaro win | 23.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.6% |
| TPS score first | 55.2% |
| Jaro score first | 37.1% |
| TPS clean sheet | 35.2% |
| Jaro clean sheet | 19.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420709421 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
TPS are favourites. They win 50.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 23.7% for Jaro. Including the draw, TPS avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest TPS win is 1-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. TPS keep a clean sheet 35.2% of the time and Jaro 19.8%.
The simulations average 2.70 goals: 1.64 for TPS and 1.05 for Jaro. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.4% and over 3.5 goals 28.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
