We simulated Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht 100,000 times. Anderlecht won 37,346 of them (37.4%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Jagiellonia Białystok won 35%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Anderlecht win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
| Jagiellonia Białystok win | 35% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Anderlecht win | 37.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.5% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok score first | 44.8% |
| Anderlecht score first | 47.6% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok clean sheet | 24.7% |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 26% |
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
1.1–2.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Ferencvárosi
Torreense
2.4–0.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Rennes
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sturm Graz
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
2.3–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684629 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Anderlecht are favourites. They win 37.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 35% for Jagiellonia Białystok. Including the draw, Anderlecht avoid defeat 65.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Anderlecht win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57% of simulations. Jagiellonia Białystok keep a clean sheet 24.7% of the time and Anderlecht 26%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.36 for Jagiellonia Białystok and 1.42 for Anderlecht. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.4% and over 3.5 goals 30.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
