We simulated Olympiacos F.C. vs Sparta Praha 100,000 times. Olympiacos F.C. won 59,577 of them (59.6%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Sparta Praha won 17.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 50% of simulations.
| Olympiacos F.C. win | 59.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Sparta Praha win | 17.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.87 – 0.89 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.1% |
| Olympiacos F.C. score first | 60.9% |
| Sparta Praha score first | 31.9% |
| Olympiacos F.C. clean sheet | 41.2% |
| Sparta Praha clean sheet | 15.9% |
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
1.1–2.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Ferencvárosi
Torreense
2.4–0.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Rennes
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sturm Graz
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
2.3–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684684 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Olympiacos F.C. are favourites. They win 59.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 17.2% for Sparta Praha. Including the draw, Olympiacos F.C. avoid defeat 82.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.9%) and 2-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Olympiacos F.C. keep a clean sheet 41.2% of the time and Sparta Praha 15.9%.
The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.87 for Olympiacos F.C. and 0.89 for Sparta Praha. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52% and over 3.5 goals 30.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
